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On Tuesday night, Danielle Smith announced to the public that there will be no more votes on separating—as long as she is premier.
That last part may be the rub.
Danielle Smith won… or did she?
After their resounding defeat on Monday, many separatist activists have concluded that Smith’s faithlessness is the barrier to their success. Jeffrey Rath in particular has been vocal about seeking to have Smith’s party leadership reviewed.
Smith got what she wanted on Monday: a clear vote to remain, but slight wins on most of the anti-immigration and anti-federal undercard questions. She (and Pierre Poilievre) are now using those as a mandate against Ottawa and a rallying point for their bases.
But those Conservatives’ Alberta bases are far more supportive of separation than the general electorate. That split has seemingly led Poilievre to hang back throughout the process—and for good reason.
The base-versus-general-public divide has tanked Smith’s polling numbers in the referendum lead-up, with many voters on each side believing she works for the other. And it now jeopardizes her leadership.
Canada won… or did it?
If even Smith may not be a winner here, who is?
Carmine Starnino argues that the whole thing made losers of us all. It’s been a “colossal failure, morally, intellectually, and constitutionally,” he writes, that made “narrowly transactional gripes about policy” into a case to dismantle a country. |